Is now a good time to buy a home? I think the answer is yes IF: you have a stable job and expect to live in the home for 10 years or more. Yes, interest rates could fall a bit more and prices as well-- but if you plan to live in your new home for 10 years or more, I think the benefits of buying near-term would outweigh the costs at this time.
Let's look at some of the factors in making such a decision:
Interest rates: Now is a good time to buy on interest rates alone. As mortgage interest rates rise, purchasing power falls. Rates are near historic lows right now.
The Federal Reserve will eventually raise some benchmark rates and it also has a large portfolio of mortgage securities to sell off in the future-- this will put upward pressure on rates.
Also, inflation is beginning to rise and some analysts think it will continue to creep upward. As inflation increases, lenders will want to hedge against the US Dollar being worth less-- and will raise interest rates as a means to that end.
Home Prices: The banks are trying to keep home prices from plummeting by slowly releasing distressed properties into the market. The predictions on home prices vary from a minimal decline from here to another 25% decrease. But, this is a very local issue that needs to be looked at carefully in the area of interest.
When the market does hit a bottom, it will most likely not rally like we had seen in the "bubble" period. The real annual return on a home is approximately the rate of inflation. Therefore, homebuyers should not be investors looking to "flip" homes for a profit, in my view.
Lastly, even if prices were to decline further a rising interest rate might wipe away as much purchasing power if you wait.
Mortgages: Banks have tightened their lending requirements post-bubble. A bigger downpayment is required and your credit history is very important. Currently the government guarantees over 90% of the mortgages in the market. The government will most likely begin backing away from this practice and when it does will most likely require about 20% as a downpayment.
Financial Situation: The housing market will most likely continue to be soft in the coming years. The sale of a home will not be quick or easy, most likely. It is important to purchase a home you feel you will be able to afford for a while and you should not stretch your budget to afford it.
Also, the buy versus rent argument goes that rents may rise while your fixed mortgage costs will not. A fixed interest rate mortgage is a good hedge for inflation because inflation will cause wage increases; this coupled with your fixed costs will help make it easier to afford the payments.
Again, if you are economically stable and plan to live in the home for 10 years or more, I think now is a good time to take advantage of the current advantageous affordability levels of homeownership.
If you are thinking of selling or buying a home, or require more information, please text me or call me at 561-247-3550. Also, text me your name and e-mail address if you would like home search capabilities.
Michael Friedman
Realtor, Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE)
Lang Realty
561-247-3550
Boca Raton FL real estate for sale and surrounding areas including real estate properties for sale in: Belle Glade, Boca Raton, Boynton Beach, Bryant, Canal Point, Dania, Deerfield Beach, Delray Beach, Fort Lauderdale, Hallandale, Hialeah, Hobe Sound, Hollywood, Indiantown, Jupiter, Key Biscayne, Lake Harbor, Lake Worth, Loxahatchee, Miami, Miami Beach, North Miami Beach, North Palm Beach, Opa Locka, Pahokee, Palm Beach, Palm Beach Gardens, Pembroke Pines, Pompano Beach, South Bay, West Palm Beach, Lang Realty
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1. Most buyers will need to sell a home to cash out their equity (if they have any left) to provide down payment.
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3. Everyone has to be Goldman Sachs so buy now if you can!