Sunday, November 24, 2013

Economist Says Rising Mortgage Rates Will Not Hurt US Housing Market

In which direction will the market go?

Aneta Markowska, Chief US Economist for societe Generale made an interesting point about rising mortgage rates and the US housing market.  Despite rising interest rates, Markowska believes US home prices will continue to rise, not fall.


Markowska's research shows American expectation is for annulized home prices to increase 5.0%.  With current 30-year fixed mortgages at 4.44%, homebuyers will feel like they are up 0.56%.  The relatively low interest rate compared with the anticipated appreciation of the home shows a profit, according to Markowska.

Markowska believes this will continue to spur home buying despite a rise in mortgage rates.  Markowska stated, "If you're in you 20s or 30s thinking about starting a family, you're not going to be renting forever.  And, I think if you expect prices to rise, you're going to be enticed to actually come in and pull the trigger."

I take an analytical approach to buying, selling and leasing real estate. I work with families, people looking for a rental home, a second home, investors, etc. As a Realtor, I am aware of trends in the domestic market, as well as in the local markets throughout South Florida. If you are thinking of selling or buying a home, please feel free text me or call me at 561-247-3550.

For free home searches, please text me your name, e-mail address and phone number or visit my Web-site at http://homes.MYsouthFLrealestate.com

Michael Friedman
Realtor, Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE)
Member of Who's Who in Luxury Real Estate
Lang Realty
561-247-3550

An Analytical Approach To Buying, Selling and Leasing Real Estate
http://MYsouthFLrealestate.com

The greatest compliment you can give is the referral of your friends and loved ones

Boca Raton FL real estate for sale and surrounding areas including real estate properties for sale in: Belle Glade, Boca Raton, Boynton Beach, Bryant, Canal Point, Dania, Deerfield Beach, Delray Beach, Fort Lauderdale, Hallandale, Hialeah, Hobe Sound, Hollywood, Indiantown, Jupiter, Key Biscayne, Lake Harbor, Lake Worth, Loxahatchee, Miami, Miami Beach, North Miami Beach, North Palm Beach, Opa Locka, Pahokee, Palm Beach, Palm Beach Gardens, Pembroke Pines, Pompano Beach, South Bay, West Palm Beach, Lang Realty

Case Shiller Housing Index: August 2013: US Home Prices Continue To Rise, But At Slower Pace

The US housing market showed a price increase of 1.3% on a sequential basis and 12.8% on a year-over-year basis in August 2013, according to Case Shiller Housing Index.

The Sequential increase for the US housing market hit a zenith of 2.6% in April 2013 and has been increasing at a declining rate since. 

The South Florida market has had a similar trend with the peak of sequential increases being 2.6% in May 2013.  We also see sequential price increases for home sales at a declerating rate since May in the South Florida housing market. 

The South Florida market continues to show robust price increases from a year ago, with a 13.5% year-over-year increase in August 2013.  South Florida continues to outpace the US housing market for price increases as a whole on a year-over-year basis.

With the Federal Reserve situation relatively settled with Janet Yellen set to be confirmed, I foresee confidence in the market for continued low mortgage rates.  This should be a positive for the housing market for 1H:14.

If you are looking to buy a home, this could be a good time as prices continue to show an inclination to increase.  Sellers should be in a good position in the near-term.  I work with both buyers and sellers, so please contact me if you are making a move in the South Florida market.

Other areas of interest:

Aug-13 Monthly Sequential Annual
Metropolitan Area Level Change Change
Boston 168.27 0.70% 6.30%
Chicago 127.68 1.60% 8.70%
Miami 170.41 0.80% 13.50%
Minneapolis 137.34 1.80% 10.20%
New York 172.46 1.10% 3.60%
Tampa 153.93 1.80% 14.10%
Composite 10 178.75 1.30% 12.80%
Composite 20 164.53 1.30% 12.80%
Source:
S&P Indices
Firserv

I take an analytical approach to buying, selling and leasing real estate. I work with families, people looking for a rental home, a second home, investors, etc. As a Realtor, I am aware of trends in the domestic market, as well as in the local markets throughout South Florida. If you are thinking of selling or buying a home, please feel free text me or call me at 561-247-3550.

For free home searches, please text me your name, e-mail address and phone number or visit my Web-site at http://homes.MYsouthFLrealestate.com

Michael Friedman
Realtor, Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE)
Member of Who's Who in Luxury Real Estate
Lang Realty
561-247-3550

An Analytical Approach To Buying, Selling and Leasing Real Estate

http://MYsouthFLrealestate.com

The greatest compliment you can give is the referral of your friends and loved ones

Boca Raton FL real estate for sale and surrounding areas including real estate properties for sale in: Belle Glade, Boca Raton, Boynton Beach, Bryant, Canal Point, Dania, Deerfield Beach, Delray Beach, Fort Lauderdale, Hallandale, Hialeah, Hobe Sound, Hollywood, Indiantown, Jupiter, Key Biscayne, Lake Harbor, Lake Worth, Loxahatchee, Miami, Miami Beach, North Miami Beach, North Palm Beach, Opa Locka, Pahokee, Palm Beach, Palm Beach Gardens, Pembroke Pines, Pompano Beach, South Bay, West Palm Beach, Lang Realty